Here: I kept California where I currently live and ranked states with over 50% chances. Among those, I would select less expensive ones.

California 43.7%
Hawaii 51.3%
Nebraska 51.7%
South Dakota 52%
Maryland 52.3%
New York 52.9%
Alaska 53.2%
Delaware 53.5%
Massachusetts 53.6%
Vermont 53.8%
North Dakota 53.9%
District of Columbia 55.4%
New Hampshire 56.8%
Wyoming 59.1%
New Jersey 59.4%