I came across this site when I was researching SSD. The info may be outdated but maybe not. Statistically, your chances of winning are less than 50/50.
Some judges give a favorable decision in less than 10% of the cases that come before them. There seems to be a very wide variance in the percentage of favorable decisions between states. If you live in Alaska your chances are very slim. In Hawaii and Puerto Rico (yeah that one surprised me too) your chances are good.
Disability Judges | ODAR Offices | All States
You can click on the states and find the list of judges for that state. You may even find your judge.