Hello venusss: Well... I don't know. I think one just goes with one's intuition up to the point where one cannot turn back if it turns out to be inaccurate. Then one can re-evaluate & see if one's intuition still appears to be accurate in light of whatever additional information has become available.

I liken it to the weather. I have a dog that I walk every day regardless of the weather. I always listen to the weather reports to see what the forecast is for the coming day in an effort to work around, as much as possible, any rain or snow events that might be coming in. I know that the weather forecasts are notoriously inaccurate. But they're the only guide I have. So I listen to them, gauge them against my own previous experience, look out the window periodically, & come to some conclusion with regard to when the best time is to take the dog for his walk. By-&-large, it tends to work out fairly well for us. Occasionally we get caught in a downpour...

Personally, I don't trust my intuition. Over the years, it has led me astray so many times I finally beat it to death! Hopefully your intuition is more reliable than mine was.