I weigh 172 once again. My legs ache a little, but I will exercise anyways at least for two miles.

Now for yesterday, I did not exercise. Then my target is 2500 calories. I ate 2,465 calories. I am probably underestimating the calories from the icecream that I ate. Next time I will need to be more careful. I probably ate closer to two cups instead of one. I do not think this blip on my calories consumed will make much of a difference as long as this does not become a pattern. I still have about 150 calories to burn off from the overage of a few days ago. I may reduce my calorie intake accordingly to take care of this.

@UpDownAround: You are not letting MFP make those adjustments for you? Or is this in addition to the change made by MFP? 1683 too high? IMO If you adjust down from there, you will likely end up close to your BMR. As you lose body fat, your BMR goes up, not down. But apparently you know what you are doing. You have had good success so far. I could not be successful with your approach. So IMO I do not think you should mess with an approach that has been working for you. We are both OCD in this way.

For example, I probably should of stayed with 2300 as my base calories. Furthermore, I also hope my adjustment down to the calories burned given by my watch is not being overestimated. The watch may know better than I about my fitness level. If I remember correctly, I do not think I gained weight using the figures that I used from the watch, but I may be wrong here. My downward adjustments have been a relatively recent approach of mine. So this particular change of adjusting down may be another example of my OCD. Then I now use a new method to calculate my base calories. When will this end? I had a system that for the most part appeared to be working.