Oddly enough, the trend continues - 154 this morning. This is an example of why I weigh frequently and try not to skip just because I expect a spike that I don't want to see. I am often wrong. I ran some numbers. I have averaged over 100 calories over goal for the last week. But goal is a deficit of over 200 calories and I have likely been underestimating calories burned out of fear of overestimating them.