Statistically rehabilitation programs for criminals in general have never been that great but especially not for sex offenders. It's a sad thing to think about but some people can be born with flawed character. You can dish as many hours of therapy into someone as you want but if they themselves can not see their wrong doings in the right light then it's pointless. You have to have compassion and perspective to be able to see that what you did was immoral and should not be done again. We all make mistakes but the difference is non-criminal people learn from their mistakes rather then blame others and continue down the same path.
If someone has to be charged and ordered by a court to get help then that alone should say a lot about their 'willingness' to change. I don't like to categorize everyone now. Of course, there are some people who truly try to turn their life around. With this particular group, though, it's quite rare. There's a sex offender who lives down the road from me. He assaulted my sister, wasn't his first sex offense.
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