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Originally Posted by rechu
@ BreakForTheLight. I hope you are able to go to your concert. Fingers crossed on that and on the vaccination front.
I just had a really bad thought. If it's true that about half of people have low antibodies after 6 months with Sinovac and if that is important for protection for people who received the vaccine, which it seems to be, we may be in for a bad few months. The elderly were vaccinated first. So, they will be in the first groups at risk to experience lower antibody levels. And, it sounds like older people tend to have a weaker immune response to vaccination overall. Not all, but it's more common. Add in that winter is about to start and people will be spending time indoors, often in poorly ventilated areas, especially in the south where winters are more extreme. We could be in for a very bad next few months.
What will the government's spin be then if the elderly start getting sick and dying in increasing numbers?
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Yes that's certainly a valid concern.
Even here in UK, where we're using a mixture of mRNA and virus vector vaccines there has been recently a note of caution from a leading mathematician from UCL (University College London) that some of the earliest recipients may have fading immunity. At the moment it's conjecture I believe but a possibility. We still haven't been told about autumn boosters, whether that will be happening.
Who knows at this stage what will happen next.